A comparison of the Ramil's possible paths predicted by Pagasa, the Japan Meteorological Agency, and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center, as of early Thursday morning. Note that JMA's prediction (middle) is different from Pagasa's and the JTWC's. Typhoon "Ramil" (Lupit) slowed down anew Thursday and may not make landfall until at least this weekend, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration said.
In its 5 a.m. advisory, Pagasa said Ramil would still be some 110 km east of Aparri in Cagayan by Sunday morning, given the cyclone’s present movement.
“Nagbago ang kanyang speed of movement. Kahapon around 15 kph, subalit bumagal pa kaninang madaling araw. Halos 3 kph lang ... so medyo matatagalan pa bago tumama ng kalupaan (‘Ramil’ slowed down from 15 kph to about 3 kph. So it will take longer before making landfall)," Pagasa head Prisco Nilo said in an interview on dzXL radio.
When asked when "Ramil" will make landfall, he said, “bandang Lunes pa tatama ng kalupaan (it may make landfall Monday)."
But he also said it is an indication the typhoon may eventually change course. He, however, did not elaborate.
On the other hand, Nilo said landfall may still occur during the weekend as it is also possible "Ramil" will again speed up within the day.
Different paths For its part, Japan Meteorological Agency's forecast indicated Ramil remains on course to make landfall in northeast Luzon.
The JMA's 5:40 a.m. (Manila time) forecast indicated it may even have an impact to as far as Central Luzon, with a storm warning area of 280 km.
Meanwhile, Pagasa said Ramil was moving west southwest "slowly" and may be 250 km east of Aparri in Cagayan Friday morning, and 180 km east of Aparri Saturday morning.
As of 4 a.m. Thursday, Pagasa said Ramil was about 350 km east northeast of Aparri with maximum sustained winds of 160 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 195 kph.
Areas under storm signal No. 3 are Batanes Group of Islands, Cagayan, Calayan Island, Babuyan Islands, Apayao, Kalinga, and Isabela.
Areas under storm signal No. 2, meanwhile, are Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Abra, Mt. Province, Ifugao, Benguet, La Union, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, and Aurora.
Those under signal No. 1 are Pangasinan, Tarlac, Nueva Ecija, Zambales, Pampanga, Bulacan, Northern Quezon, and Polillo Islands.
"Northern Luzon will experience stormy weather while Central Luzon will have rains and gusty winds with moderate to rough seas. The rest of the country will be cloudy with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms," it said.
Preparations
Noting that people in flood- and landslide-prone areas are now more cooperative than before, Disaster Coordinating Council (NDCC) spokesman Lt. Col. Ernesto Torres Jr said that they are now ready for Ramil’s onslaught.
In an interview Thursday on dzXL radio, he said the Philippine National Police and Armed Forces of the Philippines have been tasked to guard the vacated areas against looters, as many families had refused to leave their homes before because of the threat of looting.
Also, Torres noted governors and mayors in northern Luzon had ordered evacuations in coastal areas, riverbanks and landslide-prone areas.
He said in a separate interview over GMA News' Unang Hirit that local disaster coordinating councils have identified the areas prone to floods and landslides.
"In every province and municipality nag-conduct po ng hazard mapping yung ating mga local disaster coordinating councils and na-identify po nila saan yung mga hazardous areas sa landslides pati na rin po sa mga pagbabaha," he said.
(In every province and municipality, local coordinating councils have conducted hazard mapping to identify hazardous areas where landslides and flooding occur.) In its 6 a.m. report, the NDCC said 37,123 firefighters, police and public works personnel have been pre-positioned in Luzon. Last Tuesday, the Department Interior and Local Government issued a regional memorandum reiterating the government’s “Zero Casualty" policy.
In Cagayan Valley, the local Social Welfare Department forged an agreement with Smart Communications to set up a free communication system for families affected by Ramil.
In Cagayan, radio dzBB’s Carlo Mateo reported at least 50 families had been preemptively evacuated in Aparri town, after a seven-meter storm surge destroyed part of a breakwater.
Also, radio dzXL reported that some bus firms in Metro Manila had canceled trips to Cagayan since Wednesday night for fear their buses may be stranded due to winds, rains and floods. - GMANews.TV
In its 5 a.m. advisory, Pagasa said Ramil would still be some 110 km east of Aparri in Cagayan by Sunday morning, given the cyclone’s present movement.
“Nagbago ang kanyang speed of movement. Kahapon around 15 kph, subalit bumagal pa kaninang madaling araw. Halos 3 kph lang ... so medyo matatagalan pa bago tumama ng kalupaan (‘Ramil’ slowed down from 15 kph to about 3 kph. So it will take longer before making landfall)," Pagasa head Prisco Nilo said in an interview on dzXL radio.
When asked when "Ramil" will make landfall, he said, “bandang Lunes pa tatama ng kalupaan (it may make landfall Monday)."
But he also said it is an indication the typhoon may eventually change course. He, however, did not elaborate.
On the other hand, Nilo said landfall may still occur during the weekend as it is also possible "Ramil" will again speed up within the day.
Different paths For its part, Japan Meteorological Agency's forecast indicated Ramil remains on course to make landfall in northeast Luzon.
The JMA's 5:40 a.m. (Manila time) forecast indicated it may even have an impact to as far as Central Luzon, with a storm warning area of 280 km.
Meanwhile, Pagasa said Ramil was moving west southwest "slowly" and may be 250 km east of Aparri in Cagayan Friday morning, and 180 km east of Aparri Saturday morning.
As of 4 a.m. Thursday, Pagasa said Ramil was about 350 km east northeast of Aparri with maximum sustained winds of 160 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 195 kph.
Areas under storm signal No. 3 are Batanes Group of Islands, Cagayan, Calayan Island, Babuyan Islands, Apayao, Kalinga, and Isabela.
Areas under storm signal No. 2, meanwhile, are Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Abra, Mt. Province, Ifugao, Benguet, La Union, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, and Aurora.
Those under signal No. 1 are Pangasinan, Tarlac, Nueva Ecija, Zambales, Pampanga, Bulacan, Northern Quezon, and Polillo Islands.
"Northern Luzon will experience stormy weather while Central Luzon will have rains and gusty winds with moderate to rough seas. The rest of the country will be cloudy with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms," it said.
Preparations
Noting that people in flood- and landslide-prone areas are now more cooperative than before, Disaster Coordinating Council (NDCC) spokesman Lt. Col. Ernesto Torres Jr said that they are now ready for Ramil’s onslaught.
In an interview Thursday on dzXL radio, he said the Philippine National Police and Armed Forces of the Philippines have been tasked to guard the vacated areas against looters, as many families had refused to leave their homes before because of the threat of looting.
Also, Torres noted governors and mayors in northern Luzon had ordered evacuations in coastal areas, riverbanks and landslide-prone areas.
He said in a separate interview over GMA News' Unang Hirit that local disaster coordinating councils have identified the areas prone to floods and landslides.
"In every province and municipality nag-conduct po ng hazard mapping yung ating mga local disaster coordinating councils and na-identify po nila saan yung mga hazardous areas sa landslides pati na rin po sa mga pagbabaha," he said.
(In every province and municipality, local coordinating councils have conducted hazard mapping to identify hazardous areas where landslides and flooding occur.) In its 6 a.m. report, the NDCC said 37,123 firefighters, police and public works personnel have been pre-positioned in Luzon. Last Tuesday, the Department Interior and Local Government issued a regional memorandum reiterating the government’s “Zero Casualty" policy.
In Cagayan Valley, the local Social Welfare Department forged an agreement with Smart Communications to set up a free communication system for families affected by Ramil.
In Cagayan, radio dzBB’s Carlo Mateo reported at least 50 families had been preemptively evacuated in Aparri town, after a seven-meter storm surge destroyed part of a breakwater.
Also, radio dzXL reported that some bus firms in Metro Manila had canceled trips to Cagayan since Wednesday night for fear their buses may be stranded due to winds, rains and floods. - GMANews.TV
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